Current conditions

:Product: Geophysical Alert Message wwv.txt
:Issued: 2016 Sep 24 1805 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
#          Geophysical Alert Message
#
Solar-terrestrial indices for 23 September follow.
Solar flux 86 and estimated planetary A-index 4.
The estimated planetary K-index at 1800 UTC on 24 September was 1.

No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.

No space weather storms are predicted for the next 24 hours.

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Last 25 or 250 wwv alert messages.

Solar activity and geomagnetic forecast

Geomagnetic 3 days forecast for high latitudes

planetary index (K)

UTC	00-03	03-06	06-09	09-12	12-15	15-18	18-21	21-00
2016 Sep 24	1	1	1	2	2	1	1	1
2016 Sep 25	1	2	2	3	4	2	2	1
2016 Sep 26	1	2	4	5	4	5	3	3

Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at high latitudes

	Active	Minor_Storm	Major-Severe_Storm
2016 Sep 24	15	15	15
2016 Sep 25	15	20	20
2016 Sep 26	15	20	20

Geomagnetic 3 days forecast for mid latitudes

planetary index (K)

UTC	00-03	03-06	06-09	09-12	12-15	15-18	18-21	21-00
2016 Sep 24	2	1	2	1	2	1	2	2
2016 Sep 25	2	2	2	2	3	2	2	2
2016 Sep 26	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3

Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at mid latitudes

	Active	Minor_Storm	Major-Severe_Storm
2016 Sep 24	10	1	1
2016 Sep 25	15	1	1
2016 Sep 26	25	5	1

24-hour forecast of a polar cap absorption (PCA) event

Green
No active sunspot region on the Sun is likely to produce a PCA event in the 24 hours.

Computed daily at 23h00Utc from datas issued from SEC.
f5len.org (c 2004-2010)

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