Current conditions

:Product: Geophysical Alert Message wwv.txt
:Issued: 2023 Oct 01 1805 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
#          Geophysical Alert Message
#
Solar-terrestrial indices for 30 September follow.
Solar flux 159 and estimated planetary A-index 10.
The estimated planetary K-index at 1800 UTC on 01 October was 1.00.

Space weather for the past 24 hours has been minor.
Radio blackouts reaching the R1 level occurred.

No space weather storms are predicted for the next 24 hours.

wwv alert messages

Last 25 or 250 wwv alert messages.

Solar activity and geomagnetic forecast

Geomagnetic 3 days forecast for high latitudes

planetary index (K)

UTC 00-03 03-06 06-09 09-12 12-15 15-18 18-21 21-00
2023 Oct 1 2 2 2 3 2 1 2 2
2023 Oct 2 1 2 5 6 4 3 2 2
2023 Oct 3 3 4 4 4 3 1 2 1

Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at high latitudes

  Active Minor_Storm Major-Severe_Storm
2023 Oct 1 15 25 25
2023 Oct 2 20 30 35
2023 Oct 3 15 20 30

Geomagnetic 3 days forecast for mid latitudes

planetary index (K)

UTC 00-03 03-06 06-09 09-12 12-15 15-18 18-21 21-00
2023 Oct 1 3 2 2 2 2 1 2 2
2023 Oct 2 1 2 4 3 3 2 2 3
2023 Oct 3 3 4 3 2 2 1 2 2

Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at mid latitudes

  Active Minor_Storm Major-Severe_Storm
2023 Oct 1 20 5 1
2023 Oct 2 40 20 5
2023 Oct 3 30 15 1

24-hour forecast of a polar cap absorption (PCA) event

Green
No active sunspot region on the Sun is likely to produce a PCA event in the 24 hours.

Computed daily at 23h00Utc from datas issued from SEC.
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